Sports Predictions for 2012

Am I right a lot? Not near as much as I think I am. But, I did decide let me try to look into my crystal ball and make some sports predictions for the next 12 months. I hope to get 2 right.

* We will be on the path for the super fight between Manny Pacquiao and Floyd Mayweather Jr. The two guys will fight in November, but each will take a tune up fight before then. Manny Pacquiao will take a tune up with Timothy Bradley, while Floyd Mayweather Jr. will take on a game Erik Morales.

* Concussions and injuries will force Sidney Crosby to retire from the NHL, with all of asking how good could he have been.

* Peyton Manning will retire before the 2012 NFL season, leaving the Colts no choice but to select Andrew Luck.

* Golf's Majors winners will include Tiger Woods (Masters), Rory Mcllroy (U.S. Open), Lee Westwood (British Open) & Mike Weir (PGA Championship).

* No man or woman will win more then one tennis major.

* Dale Jr. will win the Daytona 500. Denny Hamlin will win the Sprint Cup Points Championship

* Albert Pujols struggles, and hits no better then .280

* Robert Griffin III leads the Washington Redskins to the playoffs.

* Cowboys will fire Jason Garrett after the 2012 season, and replace him with Lovie Smith. Ron Rivera will leave Carolina and take over for Smith in Chicago.

* Miami Heat win the NBA Championship over the Memphis Grizzlies in 5.

* North Carolina wins the NCAA Men's Basketball Championship over Kentucky.

* Virginia will win the ACC Coastal in football in 2012.

* LSU beats Alabama for the National Championship next week.

* Green Bay & Pittsburgh meet in a Super Bowl rematch with the Packers winning 27-17.

* The Boston Red Sox finish 4th in the AL East. The Red Sox will be involved in a blockbuster trade with the Texas Rangers at the trading deadline, or in the offseason and will acquire either Elvis Andrus or top SS prospect Jackson Profar.

* The Yankees win the World Series over the Cardinals in 6 games.

* MLB Award winners include John Danks (A.L. Cy Young), Roy Halladay (N.L. Cy Young), Prince Fielder (A.L. MVP as a member of the Texas Rangers) & Troy Tulowitzki (N.L. MVP)

* With the success of Cam Newton & Robert Griffin III in the pro ranks, Logan Thomas will be a projected Top 5 pick after the 2012 season, but he will come back to Virginia Tech and win the Heisman Trophy his Senior Year and be the number 1 pick of the 2013 NFL Draft.

I think that's a good start, if you want to bet on any of these predictions, my advice to you is don't.

My Happiest Super Bowl

I never thought I'd have a Super Bowl to where I'd have a major rooting interest in the Super Bowl. Lions and Browns fans share my thoughts I am sure. However, being a Saints fan, I had the Super Bowl I have had the most interest in this past Sunday.

Venturing to my favorite Super Bowl watching venue (my parents house, I think I have watched almost every Super Bowl there, maybe minus a few), I travelled to the house in my Deuce McAllister jersey, and equipped my wife Suzanne in my New Orleans Saints t-shirt.

Game thoughts
One thing is for sure, the Saints were playing to win, and not just happy to be there. When Sean Payton opted to go for it on 4th and goal in the 1st half with the Colts leading 10-3. Some could argue that the smart play would have been to kick the field goal and trail 10-6 midway through the 2nd quarter. However, if you do that, then you are giving the ball to Peyton Manning on probably the 20 yard line or better. Even though it is Peyton Manning, I'd rather have him go 98-99 yards then 80 yards or less. Also, to start the 2nd half with an onside kick, if that doesn't spell gamble, I don't know what does. I think that onside kick was the turning point of the game, and gave the Saints huge momentum.

Another thing the Saints did right was to keep Peyton Manning off the field. It seemed like to me in the 2nd quarter that Peyton Manning was barely on the field. He was on the field for only 2 series

Garrett Hartley was money. The first guy ever to kick 3 field goals of 40 yards or more, didn't even play the whole season, being suspended for the first four games of the season, for violating the league's drug policy with a banned supplement. The Saints didn't start using Hartley until the game against the Redskins in Week 13. So, even though Hartley is a good kicker, for a guy who wasn't used until week 13, it's pretty good to nail 3 40 yard field goals in the biggest game of the season.

Tracy Porter's touchdown return was Reggie Wayne's fault. I heard Cris Carter say it during the postgame on ESPN, that the cardinal sin for a wide receiver is getting beat to the spot. Carter went on to say that as a receiver, you do whatever it takes to avoid getting beat to the spot. If you have to tackle the WR, then you tackle him. Porter beat Wayne to the spot and took it to the house to put the Saints up 14. I still didn't feel good until Manning's incompletion on 4th down on the following drive. If the Colts had scored, the score would have been 31-24, and the Colts could have recovered an onside. The point is, you never know what could have happened. Also, even though Manning doesn't have the best playoff record, I still don't count him out.

Questions that come from the Super Bowl in my mind (feel free to answer)
Does this move Brees up the list on best current quarterbacks? I think you still have Manning, Brady and Favre has the 3 greatest all time quarterbacks that are still playing. Is Brees 4th, 5th, Top 10? Where is he specifically ranked?

What do the Saints do in the off-season? It looks to be an uncapped year in 2010, which brings the question can the Saints afford to keep some of their better players. Darren Sharper and Scott Fujita probably go to the top of that list.

Does the lack of playoff success and only one Super Bowl ring affect the legacy of Peyton Manning?

I'd love to hear your thoughts. Let me hear 'ya!

NFL MVP... Top 5 Candidates?

As the NFL season draws to a conclusion, there is a lot of debate about what teams will make the playoffs, and who will win the Super Bowl? However, I am here to debate the MVP race and give you who my final five candidates for MVP.

1. Chad Pennington- The Dolphins were 1-15 last year. 1-15! Obviously, you have to give the Tuna (Bill Parcells) and Tony (Sparano) some credit for that. But, I think you have to give Chad Pennington the veteran quarterback some credit as well. Pennington has, in my opinion, outplayed the person that the Jets acquired (Brett Favre) and remember the Jets had serious discussions about who was the better choice for them, Kellen Clements or Chad Pennington? With all that being said, even if the Dolphins don't make the playoffs, (and I don't think they will, because I think they will lose to the Jets) you have to give credit for what they have done. This is not a postseason award. This is the NFL regular season MVP.

2. Matt Cassel- A guy that did not even start in college, was really probably never counted on to play with the Patriots, unless it was a 30 point margin with 2:15 to go in the 4th. All that being said, he has just stepped into a situation, where he is filling in for a guy who has won three Super Bowls. With the Patriots falling to the Giants last year, I think expectations with all key Patriots returning, were the Patriots were just going to pick up where they left off. Once Brady went down, I think most people (not just Patriots fans) thought "Well, the Patriots will be picking in the top 10 next year in the draft, this is now a throwaway year." Clearly, that has not been the case. Obviously most think Belichick is a genius. I don't dispute that, but as William Campbell High School's head coach Brad Bradley has told me before, "Coaches lose games, players win games". While I don't know that we can say that is always absolute, it does ring true more then it rings false. I think Cassel deserves strong consideration for MVP, because like I said earlier, this is the NFL MVP. It's a regular season award, not a postseason award.

3. Peyton Manning- The Colts were also somewhat left for dead. After a red hot start by the Tennessee Titans, and a very sluggish start by the Colts, most wrote the Colts off. Now, obviously they didn't win the division, but I think if you took a poll of 100 NFL fans right now, and asked them "What team would you not want your favorite team to face in the playoffs?", I think most would say Colts. Peyton Manning has led this team, and done most of this without Joseph Addai, and an aging Marvin Harrison. After the first few games of the season, I don't think most people would have given the Colts a chance. The quarterback is always the focal point of a team. He gets credit for the wins and blame for the losses. With all that being said, I think you have to give Peyton Manning credit for getting the Colts back to a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

4. Michael Turner- The Falcons success should be credited to a lot of people, Mike Smith, the rookie head coach. The rookie quarterback, Matt Ryan should also get some credit as well. However, Mike Smith wants to establish the run in each game, and Michael Turner has established that run for the Falcons time after time through the first 15 games of the season. Could Jerrious Norwood have done the same thing? Maybe, but I doubt it. Also, anytime you have people say, "Did the Chargers keep the wrong running back", that's pretty high praise. I realize that the topic is talk radio banter, but "burner" Turner has done a good job for the Falcons this year, and I think deserves serious consideration for the MVP as well.

5. Thomas Jones- I think that Brett Favre has helped this ball club get to a respectable point this year. But, Favre's year in the Big Apple has been aided tremendously by the running back from Big Stone Gap, Virginia. I think the other four candidates listed are probably stronger, but I think Jones deserves some votes. Everybody thinks "Brett, Brett, Brett" but number 4 is not nearly as effective and strong without Thomas Jones in the backfield.

My pick to win the most valuable player is...... Chad Pennington. To reiterate some previously stated points. The Dolphins were 1-15 last year. 1-15! Pennington has 1,230 less passing yards then Drew Brees, the leader. Pennington has 15 less touchdown passes then the leader, Phillip Rivers. However, Pennington took the Dolphins into a Brady-less Foxboro, where the Dolphins shouldn't have won, and they won. The Dolphins are in the playoff race and it's largely because of Chad Pennington. Pennington is a guy who was ripped in New York unmercifully. Most New Yorkers probably thought their paperboy had a better arm then Pennington. This Dolphins team was 0-2 headed into Foxboro, surely to go to 0-3 and Pennington and the Wildcat formation defeated the AFC East's Evil Empire. Granted, the Dolphins have only won one game against a team that will make the playoffs (the AFC West winner), but if you look at their five losses (Jets, Cardinals, Texans, Ravens and Patriots) one of those teams has already clinched a playoff spot, three have a chance in Week 17 and the Texans squeaked out a one point victory with 6 seconds left. With all this said, I think Chad Pennington is the league's MVP followed by Cassel, then I'd vote Turner and then Manning.

Disagree? You are free to think that way. But leave a comment and tell me why.

Brady, Brady, Brady

Unless you have been living under a rock, you may have heard Tom Brady will not be suiting up for another NFL game this season with the New England Patriots. I have heard several comments that I'd like to comment on in this wonderful blog.

Comment 1: The NFL losing Tom Brady is the equivalent to Golf losing Tiger Woods.

False. The NFL is more about the logo on the helmet rather then the name on the back of the jersey. No one in the NFL is bigger then the league, to where one injury is going to hurt or cripple the league. Back in the day, if Michael Jordan was lost in the 1st game of the NBA season for the whole season, that would hurt the NBA more then Brady's injury hurts the NFL. A lot of people watch golf just for Tiger Woods, I don't think many people watch the NFL just because Tom Brady is playing. Maybe if you are Gisele Bundchen you are watching because of Tom Brady, but that is 1 out of hundreds of million people that watch the NFL.

Comment 2: The system is the key, any quarterback will be successful in New England.

Matt Cassel may be okay. But, something tells me if you take the MVP off a team that lost one game last season, you can't just put in any Joe and have identical success. Now, I know that you can look at other team's who have lost quarterbacks due to injuries or what not and the backup has stepped in and succeeded. For instance, when Joe Montana was injured, Steve Young filled in admirably and eventually became the guy in San Francisco. Brad Johnson was injured in Minnestoa and Randall Cunningham stepped in and filled in, and took the team to within one game of the Super Bowl. A guy named Tom Brady filled in for someone named Drew Bledsoe, and like Steve Young never really looked back. Now, do I think Matt Cassel will make fans forget Tom Brady? No.

Comment 3: The only loss that would equal Brady's loss is if the Colts lost Peyton Manning.

True. Running backs and wide receivers can be replaced, starting quarterbacks can be replaced but only if their is backup is competent. Just about every team in the NFL is going to suffer some drop off if their starter goes down, but none as much as New England and Indianapolis. Now, before Dallas fans get in an uproar, Brad Johnson does have some starting experience and Tony Romo hasn't performed at the high level for as long as Manning and Brady have.

Those are the biggest comments I hear and those would be my thoughts on the above. Any comments on my comments, e-mail me at TheSportsBuffet@verizon.net. By the way, if you read my NFL predictions, I now would like to bump the Steelers up to the Super Bowl losers. The Cowboys still win the Super Bowl.